A critical look at how China’s growing strategic arsenal could impact a rapidly changing world order.
China’s strategic capabilities and doctrine have historically differed from the United States’ and Russia’s. China has continued to modernize and expand its arsenal despite its policy of no first use, while the United States and Russia have decreased deployed weapons stocks.
This volume brings together an international group of distinguished scholars to provide a fresh assessment of China’s strategic military capabilities, doctrines, and political perceptions in light of rapidly advancing technologies, an expanding and modernizing nuclear arsenal, and an increased great-power competition with the United States.
Analyzing China’s strategic arsenal is critical for a deeper understanding of China’s relations with both its neighbors and the world. Without a doubt, China’s arsenal is growing in size and sophistication, but key uncertainties also lie ahead. Will China’s new capabilities and confidence lead it to be more assertive and take more risks? Will China’s nuclear traditions change as the strategic balance improves? Will China’s approach to military competition be guided by a notion of strategic stability or not? Will there be a strategic arms race with the United States? China’s Strategic Arsenal provides a current understanding of these issues as we strive for a stable strategic future with China.
Paul J. Bolt is a professor and the head of the Department of Political Science at the US Air Force Academy. He has published on Chinese foreign relations and defense issues, and coauthored China, Russia, and Twenty-First Century Global Geopolitics.
James M. Smith is the director of the US Air Force Institute for National Security Studies at the US Air Force Academy, where he serves as a professor of strategic studies. He has published on strategic issues, terrorism, and military leader development.
«As nuclear weapons are poised to play a more important role in US-China relations than ever before, this timely and terrific volume unpacks the evolution of China’s nuclear forces. It is essential reading for anyone interested in Asian security.»—Taylor Fravel, director of MIT Security Studies Program.
«China’s Strategic Arsenal provides an insightful assessment of all important facets of China’s growing, and increasingly capable, nuclear arsenal. It is a welcome addition to the literature on China and nuclear matters.»—Thomas G. Mahnken, senior research professor at the Philip Merrill Center for Strategic Studies, Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS)
«As the US-China competition intensifies, nuclear weapons are certain to move up the bilateral agenda, as both a security challenge and, perhaps, as an area of cooperation. China’s Strategic Arsenal is essential reading for an up-to-date and comprehensive volume that provides judicious insights about China’s nuclear doctrine, strategy, and capabilities, including opportunities for arms control.»—Penner Family Chair in Asia Studies, Georgetown University, and former National Security Council Senior Director for Asia.
Table of Contents
1. The US-Chinese Relationship and China as a Twenty-first Century Strategic Power, James M. Smith and Paul J. Bolt
2. China’s «Nested» Worldview, Andrew Scobell
3. China’s Nuclear Doctrine and Deterrence Concept, Christopher P. Twomey
4. Strategic Stability and the Impact of China’s Modernizing Strategic Strike Forces, Sugio Takahashi
5. China’s Strategic Systems and Programs, Hans M. Kristensen
6. China’s Regional Nuclear Capability, Non-Nuclear Strategic Systems, and Integration of Concepts and Operations, Phillip C. Saunders and David C. Logan
7. Organization of China’s Strategic Forces, Bates Gill
8. China on Arms Control, Nonproliferation, and Strategic Stability, Nancy W. Gallagher
9. China’s Strategic Future, Brad Roberts
List of Contributors
Paul J. Bolt, Nancy Gallagher, Bates Gill, Hans M. Kristensen, David C. Logan, Brad Roberts, Phillip C. Saunders, Andrew Scobell, James M. Smith, Sugio Takahashi, Christopher P. Twomey